Showing posts with label 1940s. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 1940s. Show all posts

Friday, June 20, 2014

McCarthy's Miscues and the Red Sox Dynasty That Never Was

When World War II ended the Boston Red Sox were poised to overthrow the Yankees as the top dogs in the American League. The Yankees and Tigers, their top competition in the Junior Circuit, were graying teams with aging superstars. The up-and-coming Sox had been on the brink of a breakout before their stars went off to war, winning 93 games in 1942 to cap a run of six straight winning seasons. Boston's nucleus still mostly in its prime, the Sox seemed assured of multiple pennants before the decade was out. They had the pieces in place to end their championship drought, which at that point was coming up on three decades.

The Olde Towne Team signaled their dominance by running roughshod over the league in 1946, storming to 104 regular season wins in baseball's first postwar season. On the eve of Boston's World Series showdown with the St. Louis Cardinals, the future for the heavily-favored Red Sox was brighter than at any point since Harry Frazee sold Babe Ruth to the Yankees and effectively set his team back 15 years (or 86, depending on who you ask). 

St. Louis stunned Boston in seven, winning the final game on Enos Slaughter's improbable mad dash around the bases on Harry Walker's double--a play made possible, I might add, only because Dom DiMaggio came out of the game in the top half of the inning, leaving defensive replacement Leon Culberson to patrol center field in his stead. Culberson misplayed Walker's single into a double, thereby allowing Slaughter to score the go-ahead run that decided the series.

When the Red Sox returned home following their Series defeat, the first in franchise history, it seemed certain they would be back. If not next year, then the year after that. There appeared to be many more pennants in store for them.

Nobody could have guessed that it would be 21 more years before Boston made it back to the Fall Classic, and were it not for the September heroics of Carl Yastrzemski and Jim Lonborg in 1967, it would've taken almost 30. In 1947 the defending AL champs tumbled to 83 wins and third place as arm troubles devastated the pitching staff and several regulars--DiMaggio, Bobby Doerr, Rudy York, and even Ted Williams--saw their production decline to varying degrees. By the season's halfway point Joe Cronin's club was already 11.5 games behind New York, out of the race in mid-July. 

Boston bounced back in 1948 under former Yankee skipper Joe McCarthy, who made one of the more puzzling and oft-criticized decisions in baseball history by starting Denny Galehouse in the do-or-die tiebreaker game for the pennant against the Cleveland Indians. Galehouse, of course, got shelled in what turned out to be the final start of his major league career, and Boston lost 8-3, missing out on their one and only chance for an all-Boston World Series (the Braves won the National League flag by relying on Warren Spahn, Johnny Sain and two days of rain).

Winners of 96 games in 1948, the Sox won 96 again in '49, and again fell one win short of a trip to the World Series. McCarthy again proved to be Boston's undoing, overmanaging the last game of the season with the pennant on the line. With his team at bat but losing 1-0 in the top of the eighth, five outs from elimination, he lifted starting pitcher Ellis Kinder for pinch-hitter Tom Wright with nobody on (Wright walked, only to be wiped out by DiMaggio's double play). 

In hindsight, McCarthy's move to sub out Kinder doesn't look great but was certainly defensible. If Wright got on, which he did, then it was a good bet that DiMaggio (.404 OBP in '49 and .383 for his career) would also reach base. If DiMaggio didn't then it was still equally likely that Pesky (.407 OBP that year) would keep the inning alive for Ted Williams. Both DiMaggio and Pesky were .300 hitters as well, meaning they were more than capable of driving in a run with somebody in scoring position. That DiMaggio grounded into a double play, something he did only 10 times in 1949, was a most unlikely outcome and worst-case scenario. With eight round-trippers that year, he was nearly as likely to put one in the seats.

But he didn't, and so the game remained 1-0 heading into the bottom of the eighth. That's when McCarthy made his mortal error; bringing in Mel Parnell, who had to be exhausted from pitching the day before and a league-leading 295.1 innings that year (59.1 of which came after August 31st). Whereas McCarthy's greatest sin in 1948 had been passing over a rested Parnell in favor of Galehouse on the season's final day, here it was relying on Parnell to keep New York at bay when the young lefty simply had nothing left. 

It was immediately clear that Parnell had nothing, as he came in and promptly served up a leadoff home run to Tommy Henrich, then a single to Yogi Berra. McCarthy removed Parnell from the game, but by then, in the span of only two batters, Boston's win probability had been more than halved, from 14 percent at the start of the inning to just 5 percent when Parnell walked off the mound. 

McCarthy's next move was to bring in Tex Hughson, who hadn't pitched in three weeks and made only two appearances in the previous month. To his credit, Hughson induced a double play off the bat of Joe DiMaggio. The third out, however, proved to be elusive, as Hughson loaded the bases in what would be the final inning of his major league career. Rookie Jerry Coleman, the Yankee's number eight hitter, broke Boston's back by doubling to right on a ball that Al Zarilla caught, but lost control of when he slammed to the ground in the process of doing so. The bases-clearing double gave New York a five-run edge that would prove insurmountable, for Boston's three-run rally in the top of the ninth was not enough.

A prodigious drinker, McCarthy began hitting the bottle hard after that. He returned for the 1950 season but was often absent. When he did show up to the park, he was usually hung-over and disengaged. It took Red Sox ownership 59 games to dismiss him, with Boston barely above .500 at 31-28. 

Under new manager Steve O'Neill, the Sox won nearly two-thirds of their remaining games. On the morning of September 19th they had climbed to second place, only one game out of first with twelve to play. But, just as they had the previous two seasons, the Sox slumped at the season's most critical moment, losing four straight and six of their next eight to let another pennant slip away. They settled for third, four games off the pace. Had O'Neill been managing all along, or had Williams not missed two months after colliding with an outfield wall during the All-Star Game, the pennant probably would have been theirs.

1951 followed a similar script, with Boston taking control of first place for a while in late July and remaining near the top of the standings until the season's final week. On the morning of September 18th they were in second place, 2.5 out with 13 to play. They endured another epic collapse, winning only one game the rest of the way and finishing the year 11 back of the Yankees, who won their third straight pennant. With better play down the stretch, all three of those pennants could have gone to Boston. 

By 1952 the Red Sox championship window had closed. De facto team captain, Hall of Fame second baseman and key RBI man Bobby Doerr retired after the '51 season. DiMaggio, their stoic leadoff man, center fielder and on-base machine, was 35 and in his final full season. Pesky, less of a sparkplug at 33, would be traded in June after slumping at the start of the season. The indispensable Williams would play just six games before returning to war, this time in Korea. Slugging shortstop Vern Stephens' best days were behind him. With the team's core aging out, nobody in Boston's depleted lineup hit 20 home runs or knocked in 70 runs that year. The pitching staff, an odd mix of hurlers young and old, had only two post double digit win totals, led by Parnell's 12. 

Without Williams, the Lou Boudreau-led Sox stumbled to 76-78 that year, marking the end of their days as serious championship contenders. They wouldn't exceed 84 wins in a season until Dick Williams took over in 1967, by which point everyone from those halcyon days had long since retired. 

Looking back, it seems impossible to believe the great Sox teams of the late '40s and early '50s managed only one pennant. They certainly had the hitting, but never quite enough pitching, defense or speed. That they were run first by the incompetent Joe Cronin, then later by a washed-up alcoholic, did not help and can not be ignored. With a more capable skipper to steer them, the Red Sox could and should have won three or four pennants and at least one World Series. The Yankees and Dodgers owned the postwar decade, but the Red Sox wasn't far behind, only a few breaks away from building their own dynasty in Boston.

As fate would have it, those doomed teams were destined to be remembered for their near-misses than the one pennant they actually won. The optimism and high expectations engendered by their incredible 1946 season quickly gave way to misery and heartache, lending itself to writing several of Boston baseball's most painful chapters. These seasons brought about the first real heartbreaks in Red Sox history, the frustration of coming so close, of being right there, inches from the goal line, but not finishing the job. 

Unfortunately, it was a feeling which generations of Red Sox fans would become all too familiar with over the next half-century. 




Sunday, June 15, 2014

Williams vs. DiMaggio

Williams and DiMaggio were teammates in nine All-Star games (SI)
Ted Williams and Joe DiMaggio dominated the headlines during the 1940s. Their incredible talents, personal and team rivalries, and newsworthy exploits off the field and on made them America's most famous athletes immediately before and after the Second World War. Legend has it that they were nearly traded for each other straight up, before Tom Yawkey demanded the Yankees throw in a young catcher by the name of Yogi Berra, which turned out to be the dealbreaker.

The debates over which baseball giant was better raged on for more than a decade, from the dawn of Williams career (by which point DiMaggio was already an established star) to the end of DiMaggio's. Williams was viewed as the better hitter, DiMaggio as a superior leader and all-around player. Williams had the gaudier statistics, but DiMaggio played the more demanding position and played it flawlessly. Joltin' Joe's Yankee squads claimed ten pennants and nine championships in his 13-year career, while Williams' Red Sox teams (which featured Joe's little brother Dom DiMaggio, also a center fielder) went title-less and became known for their near-misses more than the one pennant they actually won during his 19 seasons with Boston.*

*By the way, the championship disparity can be summarized by two words: pitching and management. New York always seemed to have more arms and smarter skippers.Joe Cronin was incompetent, and Joe McCarthy badly overmanaged the pennant-deciding games of 1948 and '49.

Each player has his strong suits, but who was better? As a Red Sox fan I'm obligated to choose Teddy Ballgame, but the numbers back me up. As an appetizer, here's a sampling of their stats from 1939, Williams' rookie season, through 1951, DiMaggio's final season

DiMaggio 4,964 AB 254 HR 1,105 RBI .322/.404/.567 .971 OPS 159 OPS+ 60 bWAR
Williams 5,086 AB 323 HR 1,261 RBI .347/.484/.633 1.117 OPS 190 OPS+ 83.7 bWAR

With nearly 24 more bWAR and an OPS almost 150 points higher, Thumper clearly wins, doing more than enough with the bat to compensate for DiMaggio's superior fielding and baserunning skills. DiMaggio won more hardware though, winning three MVP awards to William's three and six World Series title to Williams' none.

Quick tangent: I've always found DiMaggio to be a bit overrated. I can see why: he hit for high batting averages and drove in tons of runs and almost never struck out. Above all, he won the World Series almost every damn year. But for all his RBI, he only led the league twice. For all his high averages, he only led the league twice. He never led in OBP (more important than average) and OPS, and only once led in adjusted OPS. And he was horrible in the postseason.

He was solid on the bases and a great center fielder, but DiMaggio's defense appears to have been wildly overrated, as both B-R and FanGraphs agree that his glovework, while good, was only worth 3.2 wins over the course of his career, or saved fewer than three runs per season. According to bWAR he was never the American League's most valuable player, and was the league's second most valuable player only once (in 1939).

So I don't think I'm out of line when I say that his hold on the whole Greatest Living Ballplayer title was completely undeserved. Williams and Stan Musial were superior among his peers, and he was quickly surpassed by Willie Mays, Hank Aaron, Mickey Mantle, and others as all-around players soon after his retirement. At no point was DiMaggio ever the greatest living ballplayer, and that he insisted on being referred to as such until his last breath was utterly ridiculous.

Anyways, I digress. Here's the year-by-year breakdown of the ten seasons in which their careers overlapped, excluding the war years of 1943-1945, when both were in the service:

1939 DiMaggio
The Kid was great from the start, batting .327/.436/.609 with the most RBI (145) and extra base hits (86) in baseball. But as great as the 20 year-old rookie (6.7 bWAR) was, DiMaggio was even better. His .381 average led both leagues and hasn't been equaled by a righthanded hitter in the 75 years since. His 8.1 bWAR were also tops among position players, and he ranked second in slugging, OPS, and OPS+ only to Williams' teammate Jimmie Foxx. DiMaggio was rightfully named league MVP at season's end, the first of three times he'd win the award. Williams settled for fourth behind Joltin' Joe, Double X, and Blazin' Bob Feller.

1940 DiMaggio
Both players fell off a bit in 1940, but not by much. Williams saw his power numbers sink to 23 home runs and 113 RBI even though Fenway Park's rightfield fence had been moved closer during the previous offseason to accommodate the newly constructed bullpens (so dubbed Williamsburg), making his season a mild disappointment even though he paced the Show in runs, OBP, and times on base. DiMaggio lost almost 30 points off his batting average but still won the crown at .352, barely eclipsing Luke Appling's .348 and Teddy Ballgame's .344. He also outhomered Williams 31 to 23, knocked in 20 more runs, and posted the American League's best OPS+ at 173. With 7.1 bWAR, the Yankee Clipper was worth nearly a full win more than Williams (6.3).

1941 Williams
1941 was a banner year for both players. DiMaggio had his 56 game hitting streak and the most RBI, extra base hits and total bases in the majors, but Williams had everything else, most notably his .406 average and .553 OBP, a record that stood for more than 60 years before Barry Bonds shattered it. He won the sabermetric Triple Crown and just missed the conventional Triple Crown by a handful of RBI (five, to be exact). He also led the major leagues in walks, runs, runs created (31 more than DiMaggio), times on base, adjusted OPS and AB/HR. In all, Williams was worth 10.6 bWAR, head and shoulders above everyone else, including DiMaggio (second at 9.1).

1942 Williams
Williams won the traditional Triple Crown, sabermetric Triple Crown, led the majors in just about every batting statistic imaginable, and was worth 10.6 bWAR, same as the year before. Incredibly, the writers found someone else to give the MVP award to; Yankees second baseman Joe Gordon. DiMaggio's performance dropped off considerably from the year before. He lost more than 50 points off his average, 64 off his OBP and almost 150 off his slugging percentage as his batting line dipped to .305/.376/.498--the worst average and SLG of his career up to that point. Ditto his 21 homers and 114 RBI, nine and eleven fewer than his 1941 totals, respectively, even though he played 15 additional games. Despite the steep drop off, his numbers were still great (6.1 bWAR), just not in the same neighborhood's as Williams's otherworldly figures.

1946 Williams
DiMaggio struggled in his first season back from war, batting below .300 and failing to reach 100 RBI for the first time. Williams, however, picked up right where he left off, batting .342/.497/.667 with 38 home runs (then a career-high) and 123 RBI. With Boston winning its first pennant since the sale of Babe Ruth, Williams (with 10.9 bWAR) finally earned his first MVP. DiMaggio (5.1 bWAR) finished a distant 19th in the voting, the worst finish of his career until his final season when he received no votes at all.

1947 Williams
DiMaggio had a better showing than in 1946, but it was still a down season by his lofty standards. His 20 home runs were the fewest of any season in his career up to that point, and he fell short of 100 RBI again. His 4.8 bWAR was his lowest total since his rookie season. Williams wasn't quite as good as the year before, but still good enough to win his second Triple Crown, third sabermetric Triple Crown and compile 9.9 bWAR--most in baseball. That DiMaggio won the MVP remains one of the award's most egregious travesties.

1948 Williams
Both were great in '48, and I very nearly called this one a tie. In the end I decided that Williams was better, but not by much. DiMaggio's 39 dingers, 355 total bases, and 15.2 AB/HR ratio led the American League, and his 155 ribbies led all of baseball. Williams was even more dominant, pacing the league in doubles, walks, all three triple slash stats, OPS+, runs created, times on base, and Win Probability Added. They ranked 2-3 in bWAR behind league MVP Lou Boudreau, with Williams worth 8.5 and DiMaggio 7.1. That, combined with Williams' overall dominance, tipped the scales in his favor.

1949 Williams
If 1948 was a tough call, there was no doubt about who had the better year in 1949. Williams was the league MVP and narrowly missed winning his third Triple Crown. DiMaggio missed more than half the season. Though DiMaggio was terrific when he did suit up, managing 4.4 bWAR and batting .346/.459/.596 in 76 games, Williams hit an even better .343/.490/.650 and played every game, a performance worth 9.1 bWAR.

1950 DiMaggio
Because of an elbow injury suffered while running into a wall during the All-Star Game, Williams played only 89 games, his fewest total in a non-war interrupted season. DiMaggio enjoyed his last good year at 35, launching 32 home runs, driving in 122, and leading the league in extras base hits with 75 and slugging percentage at .585. Though Williams' OPS was more than 100 points higher and he wasn't far behind in home runs (28), he played 40 fewer games than DiMag and was worth roughly four wins to DiMaggio's five.

1951 Williams
DiMaggio's final season was also his worst, for he set career lows in many categories and was only worth around three wins above replacement. Williams, on the other hand, was worth more than seven. In addition to outhitting DiMaggio by nearly 60 points, clubbing 18 more homers and driving in 55 more runs, the Kid had the most walks and highest OBP in the majors. He also paced the circuit in bWAR, slugging, total bases, OPS, OPS+, runs created, times on base, and Win Probability Added. Additionally, he placed second in home runs, RBI, extra base hits, and AB/HR ratio. And to think this constituted a down year by Williams' lofty standards!

Williams wins 7-3. That settles that.

Thursday, February 6, 2014

RIP Ralph Kiner

Even in a brief career, Kiner was one of the best power hitters of all-time
Ralph Kiner, the Hall of Fame slugger and longtime broadcaster, died today. He was 91.

Though Kiner's playing career spanned only ten seasons (1946-1955) because military service delayed its start and a bad back cut it short, he left his mark as one of the greatest sluggers the game has ever seen. During that time he was the fifth most valuable player in baseball behind Stan Musial, Ted Williams, Jackie Robinson, and Pee Wee Reese--all Hall of Famers. Kiner was the top home run hitter during that period, outhomering the next closest guy (Musial) by 80. Kiner was also third in runs scored and third in RBI despite playing on poor teams for much of his career (only twice was he on a winning ballclub). In that time-frame only Ted Williams walked more.

Hell, Kiner averaged 37 home runs, 101 RBI, 97 runs and 101 walks per season for his career. Not many players can say that.

Kiner's prodigious power was evident from the start. He smacked 23 home runs as a 23 year-old rookie in 1946, enough to lead the National League and start a record streak of seven straight home run titles. He also led the league in AB/HR ratio, something he would do seven times in a row as well.

But Kiner was not a finished product when he arrived in the Show. He showed good plate discipline by walking 74 times, but like most rookies he had trouble making consistent contact, an issue reflected in his low batting average (.247, almost 20 points below the league average of .266) and high strikeout total. In fact, his 109 whiffs were far and away the most in the Senior Circuit that year--nobody else had more than 86. Kiner was blessed with raw power, but he needed to polish his skills to become not just a slugger, but a hitter.

Under the tutelage of teammate and future Hall of Famer Hank Greenberg, Kiner honed his craft and emerged as one of baseball's most dominant offensive forces in 1947. He walked 17 more times (98) than he struck out (81) and his batting line jumped to .313/.417/.639, giving him the highest slugging percentage in baseball as well as the league's best OPS (1.055) and OPS+ (173).

But what made Kiner special was the long ball. Learning from Greenberg, a four-time home run champion who hit as many as 58 in a single season, helped Kiner reach his full power potential. He cleared the fences 51 times in 1947 to share the major league lead with Johnny Mize and rack up 361 total bases--most in the bigs. Kiner crushed 28 of those home runs at home--Forbes Field--where he was aided by a short left field porch. Originally dubbed "Greenberg Gardens" by the press, it was quickly renamed "Kiner's Korner" after Greenberg retired following his one year stint with the Pirates. Two decades later, Kiner's postgame show would be named that as well.

With the help of Forbes Field's friendly confines, Kiner was baseball's top home run hitter in each of the next five seasons:

1948: 40 HR, 31/9 Home/Road
1949: 54 HR, 29/25 Home/Road
1950: 47 HR, 27/20 Home/Road
1951: 42 HR, 26/16 Home/Road
1952: 37 HR, 22/15 Home/Road

His string of six straight major league home run crowns is a record, even if he did share a tie in three of those years (with Mize in the first two and Hank Sauer in the last). His five consecutive seasons with at least 40 home runs, equaled by Duke Snider from 1953-1957, stood as a National League record until 2003, when Sammy Sosa reached 40 homers for the sixth straight season.

In 1953 Kiner got off to a slow start, and on June 4th he was traded along with three other players to the Chicago Cubs for six players and $150,000 ($1.3 million in today's money). Pittsburgh's GM at the time, Branch Rickey, reportedly told Kiner that the Pirates, who had lost 112 games and finished last the year before, would have no problem finishing last without him.

That seemed to light a fire under Kiner. He socked 28 home runs over the season's final four months and reached his usual benchmarks--100 walks, 100 runs, and 116 RBI, all for the last time. He was also named to the All-Star team for the sixth and final time. But for the first time since World War II the National League had a new home run king. It was Eddie Mathews of the Milwaukee Braves, who bashed 47 home runs in his sophomore season at the tender age of 21. Six players (including Mathews) outdid Kiner's total of 35 that year, marking the end of his home run reign. He swatted just 22 the next year and tailed off to 18 with Cleveland in an injury-plagued 1955.

Though he was just 32 years old at season's end, Kiner called it quits. His home run totals had declined every year since 1949 and he'd played a career-low 113 games in '55, easily the worst season of his career. When Kiner retired, his 369 home runs ranked sixth all-time. His 14.1 AB/HR ratio was second only to Babe Ruth. Even now, it's still the sixth best mark of all-time, trailing only Mark McGwire, Ruth, Barry Bonds, Jim Thome, and Ryan Howard.

Because Kiner's brilliance was short-lived, it took him a while to get elected into the Hall of Fame. He wasn't inducted until his final year of eligibility in 1975, 20 years after his final game. Kiner barely made it in too, receiving just one more vote than he needed to clear the 75 percent threshold. Writers were probably reluctant to vote him in right away because of his low counting numbers, unimpressive batting average (.279) and zero MVP awards and World Series appearances. His poor defense in left field and lackluster baserunning didn't help his case much, either, but in the end his magnificent peak was deemed spectacular enough to merit a plaque in Cooperstown.

After his playing days were over, Kiner became a broadcaster for the Chicago White Sox in 1961. Chicago wasn't half bad that year: they won 86 games with a roster that featured notables such as Luis Aparicio, Nellie Fox, Minnie Minoso, Roy Sievers, and Al Smith, plus Billy Pierce and Early Wynn in the rotation. But the White Sox finished a staggering 23 games behind the New York Yankees, who of course had Roger Maris and Mickey Mantle chasing Babe Ruth's home run record that summer, plus a stellar supporting cast of Elston Howard, Yogi Berra, and Whitey Ford.

The following season Kiner, along with Lindsey Nelson and Bob Murphy, began broadcasting games for the New York Mets, then in their inaugural season. The Mets were terrible in their early years, losing 120 in their MLB debut and exceeding 100 losses four times in the five years after that. That's what made their 100-win season and World Series championship in 1969 so unexpected, so miraculous. Just the year before, they'd dropped 89 games and finished second to last in the National League. Kiner helped call the '69 Fall Classic, which saw the Mets upset a powerhouse Baltimore Orioles team in five games.

Kiner continued calling Mets games for the rest of his life* even as Bell's palsy affected his speech. He was inducted into the organization's Hall of Fame in 1984 for his work behind the microphone and was honored with Ralph Kiner Night at Shea Stadium in 2007. In 2013, his final season, he was the oldest active announcer in the major leagues, and only Vin Scully and Jaime Jarrin were more tenured.

*Fittingly enough, the Mets were horrible at the beginning of his announcing career and bad at the end. They've endured five straight losing seasons and haven't won a World Series since 1986, which only happened because Calvin Schiraldi couldn't put them away in Game 6.

Kiner spent 53 years in the booth in all, captivating fans with his trademark home run call and by occasionally mispronouncing people's names. But his signature quote came from his playing days, when he declared that "home run hitters drive Cadillacs and singles hitters drive Fords."

Based on Kiner's track record, I'd say he was born to drive Cadillacs.

Friday, January 10, 2014

When Duty Called Part III

The third part of my series that looks at players who missed time to World War II and attempts to fill in the blank seasons on their resumes. I averaged their two seasons before the war with their two seasons after it to try to get a picture of what their numbers would have looked like.

Joe Gordon
"Flash" Gordon was inducted into the Hall of Fame in 2009, more than 30 years after his death and nearly 60 years since his last game. You have to wonder if the nine-time All-Star second baseman would have gotten in sooner had he not lost his age 29 and 30 seasons to Army service. He could have beefed up his career totals, which weren't very impressive due to the short length (11 seasons) of his career. He even might have retired as the position's all-time home run leader. As it were, the Jeff Kent of his time finished 48 dingers shy of Rogers Hornsby.

1944-1945 averages: 74 R, 135 H, 25 2B, 19 HR, 78 RBI, 72 BB, 224 TB, 6 bWAR
Career totals: 1,062 R, 1,800 H, 314 2B, 291 home runs, 1,131 RBI, 903 BB, 3,155 TB, 69.1 bWAR

Cecil Travis
Travis was very much on the Hall of Fame track before the war interrupted his career, costing him three prime seasons (age 28-30). Though he played a good amount of baseball in the army, he suffered severe frostbite during the Battle of the Bulge and nearly lost his feet. When he returned late in the 1945 season, he wasn't the same player who had made three All-Star teams and batted .327/.381/.436 in his nine pre-war seasons. He hit just .241/.307/.302 after coming back and retired at age 34 after the 1947 campaign--easily the worst of his career.

1942-1945 averages: 74 R, 176 H, 32 2B, 13 3B, 80 RBI, 248 TB, 4.4 bWAR
Career totals: 961 R, 2,248 H, 393 2B, 130 3B, 977 RBI, 3,038 TB 47.3 bWAR

Tommy Henrich
Old Reliable was a late bloomer who didn't make his first All-Star team until he was 29, then spent the next three seasons in the Coast Guard.When he returned to the diamond in 1946 he was already 33 years old. Based on the success he achieved directly before and after the war, it's reasonable to assume that he would have remained an All-Star caliber player during the war years and could have pushed his career totals closer to borderline Hall of Fame levels.  Given his status as a Yankee favorite and World Series hero, he would have had a good shot at getting voted in by a lenient Veteran's Committee.

1943-1945 averages: 96 R, 144 H, 29 2B, 20 HR, 83 RBI, 74 BB, 246 TB, 3.8 bWAR
Career totals: 1,189 R, 1,729 H, 356 2B, 243 HR, 1,044 RBI, 934 BB, 2,999 TB, 47.2 bWAR

Phil Rizzuto
While Scooter is roundly viewed as one of the least deserving players in the Hall of Fame, that probably be the case had he not spent his age 25-27 seasons in the Navy. The Yankee shortstop was already a finished product when he debuted in 1941 and earned an All-Star nod the following year. If not for the war, he likely would have approached/exceeded several notable benchmarks such as 1,000 runs, 2,000 hits and 200 stolen bases. He would have compared very favorably to Pee Wee Reese and might have even been inducted off the writer's ballot as opposed to waiting for a Veteran's Committee to give him the call in 1994.

1943-1945 averages: 69 R, 146 H, 22 2B, 53 RBI, 15 SB, 190 TB, 4 bWAR
Career totals: 1,084 R, 2,026 H, 305 2B, 722 RBI, 194 SB, 2,635 TB, 52.6 bWAR

Pete Reiser
Along with Tony Conigliaro, Herb Score, and Ray Fosse, Reiser will always be one of the greater what if? cases in baseball. His breakneck style of play resulted in several collisions with outfield walls, with the walls usually winning. Pistol Pete was stretchered off the field 11 times (a record) and never played anything close to a full season after his 29th birthday. His career was further shortened by army service that robbed him of his age 24-26 seasons.

1943-1945 averages: 87 R, 142 H, 29 2B, 65 RBI, 18 SB, 216 TB, 4.6 bWAR
Career totals: 734 R, 1,212 H, 242 2B, 563 RBI, 141 SB, 1,845 TB 35.5 bWAR

Mickey Vernon
Vernon was a professional hitter before there was such a thing. A two-time batting champ and seven-time All-Star, Vernon played until he was 42 and totaled close to 2,500 hits and 500 doubles over 20 seasons. Those numbers would have looked even better had he not missed two prime seasons (age 26 and 27) to the war. With a couple strong seasons to boost his numbers even higher, he may have earned a Hall of Fame nod.

1944-1945 averages: 89 R, 178 H, 40 2B, 8 HR, 78 RBI, 19 SB 58 BB,  256 TB, 4 bWAR
Career totals: 1,374 R, 2,851 H, 570 2B, 188 HR, 1,467 RBI, 175 SB, 1,071 BB, 4,253 TB, 42.6 bWAR

Monday, February 11, 2013

Best Pitching Season of the 1940s

Bob Feller 1946 (9.4 bWAR)

After serving in the U.S. Navy for four years, Rapid Robert picked up where he left off in his first full season back from World War II. At the age of 27, he reclaimed his status as the sport's premier flamethrower and most electrifying pitchers. With the ink still drying on his freshly signed $50,000 contract, Feller won two-thirds of the pitching Triple Crown by leading both leagues with 26 wins and 348 strikeouts. In most years his 2.18 ERA would have been good enough to lead the league as well, but in '46 it placed him third behind Hal Newhouser and Spud Chandler among American League hurlers.

At Yankee Stadium on April 30th, Feller twirled the second no-hitter of his career to get the best of Bill Bevens in a 1-0 pitcher's duel. Though he walked five, Feller fanned eleven Yankees and stymied a loaded lineup featuring future Hall of Famers Joe DiMaggio, Bill Dickey, Joe Gordon, and Phil Rizzuto. Bullet Bob retired Tommy Henrich, Joltin' Joe and Charlie Keller in the bottom of the ninth to clinch his no-no. He went on to throw a pair of one-hitters later in the summer, narrowly becoming the first and only pitcher to have a trio of no-hitters in the same season.

Feller was selected to his fifth All-Star team and started the Midsummer Classic (as did Ken Keltner and Feller's batterymate, Frank Hayes) and delivered three shutout innings, earning the win as the American League cruised to a 12-0 rout. Feller allowed just two hits (both singles) and fanned three. Shortly thereafter, Feller embarked on a stretch in which he permitted just two earned runs in 69 innings from July 20th through August 17th.

Aside from Allie Reynolds, player-manager Lou Boudreau didn't have much of a rotation that year, so he leaned heavily on his ace. As a result, Feller pitched every fourth day, regardless of rainouts and off days. Feller went on to lead the majors with 48 appearances, 42 starts, 36 complete games, 10 shutouts and 371 and a third innings pitched, almost 80 more than the next closest pitcher (Newhouser). He even saved four games, enough to rank him fifth in the American League.

Though his Cleveland Indians finished the year 18 games below .500, Feller still managed to finish sixth in the MVP race that year (which was won by Ted Williams, one of the few batters to consistently frustrate Feller).

Here are some more interesting facts from Feller's record-setting year:
  • Limited opponents to a .208/.291/.225 batting line
  • Average GameScore was a 68
  • The Tribe were 30-18 (.625) when Feller pitched, 38-68 (.358) when he didn't
  • Went beyond nine innings three times, including eleven in a 2-1 win over the Philadelphia A's on June 16th
  • Bookmarked his season with complete game efforts
  • His K total set a new American League record, breaking Rube Waddell's 1904 mark of 344, that stood until Nolan Ryan punched out 383 batters 27 years later. Feller shattered Waddell's record in his final start of the season, a complete game victory over the Detroit Tigers in which he whiffed five to move past Waddell in the record books
  • Had a dozen starts in which he struck out at least ten batters, though ten of those performances came before the All-Star Game
  • Incredibly, Feller surrounded just 11 home runs all year long (good for a 0.3 HR/9 rate) and just three in his 23 home starts (where his ERA was 1.40). He did not allow a single long ball in April or August, and had just one game all year--July 11th at the House that Ruth Built--in which he served up multiple gopher balls (both to the immortal Aaron Robinson)
  • Had 30 starts in which he allowed two earned runs or less. Check out his earned run breakdown:
         0 runs--12 starts
         1 run--9 starts
         2 runs--9 starts
         3 runs--6 starts
         4+ runs--6 starts

Best offensive season of the 1940s--Ted Williams (1941)

Tuesday, January 22, 2013

The Man

Stan "The Man" Musial was one of the ten best baseball players of all time, the National League's answer to Ted Williams during the 1940s and '50s. While Musial falls short of Williams as a hitter (everyone does), he was unquestionably a superior outfielder and baserunner, not to mention much kinder to St. Lo's fans and press.

Even so, Musial's career lacked the flair of his peers. He didn't make dazzling catches like Willie Mays or hit tape-measure home runs like Mickey Mantle or steal home like Jackie Robinson. He consistently hit for high averages, but never batted .400 like Williams. He swatted 475 home runs, but never topped 40 in any season or led the league in that department. He piled up 3,630 base hits, but couldn't challenge Joe DiMaggio's magical 56-game run.  His teams won three World Series, but he did not shine in the postseason the way October legends Mantle and Reggie Jackson did. Musial batted just .256/.347/.395 with one home run in his 23 Series games. He didn't have a cool nickname like "Joltin' Joe," the "Say Hey Kid" or the "Splendid Splinter."

He was simply "The Man."

It stuck because it fit; his body of work was defined by quiet, sustained excellence. As Joe Posnanski points out, he led the league in something pretty much every year. He showed up to work everyday, played hard, and gave opposing pitchers fits. He aged well, remaining productive to the very end even though his last five seasons represented a considerable drop-off from the 17 eye-popping years that preceded them.

But whereas most players remembered for their consistency (Eddie Murray, Hank Aaron, Fred McGriff) never put together that signature, standout year that jumps off the page, Musial's 1948 remains one of the greatest offensive performances a player ever had. His 10.8 bWAR led the majors that year, as did his 230 base hits, 46 doubles, 18 triples, .376 batting average, .702 slugging percentage, 1.152 OPS, 200 OPS+, 103 extra base hits, and 429 total bases (!), still the record for the integrated era. Musial received a midseason pay-raise for his outstanding performance, something that was virtually unheard of in an era when most players fought tooth and nail for every cent they earned. He recorded his 1,000th career hit in April. He crushed a two-run homer in the All-Star Game. He had five hits in a game on four separate occasions.

He was, in a word, unstoppable.

Musial breezed to his third MVP award, becoming the first National Leaguer to collect a trio of said trophies (Roy Campanella, Mike Schmidt, Barry Bonds, and Albert Pujols later joined him). Somehow, he did not win the award unanimously. Johnny Sain received five first place votes for helping lead the Boston Braves to the NL pennant and Sain's teammate, Al Dark, snagged one for his Rookie of the Year campaign.

Musial fell one home run shy of winning the Triple Crown that year. His 39 dingers placed third behind Johnny Mize and Ralph Kiner, who tied for the league lead with 40. Musial would have made it a three-way tie were it not for a rainout erasing one longball from his ledger.

Here are some more fascinating figures:
  • Made 24 consecutive All-Star teams. 
  • Of Musial's 3,630 hits, he pounded out 1,815 at home and 1,815 on the road
  • Musial claimed seven batting titles and finished in the top five ten other times. Only Ty Cobb, Tony Gwynn, and Honus Wagner won more batting crowns
  • The Man was not made of Iron like Cal Ripken Jr. and Lou Gehrig, but he was extremely durable nevertheless. He averaged 153 games played from 1943-to-1956 and led the league in the category five times
  • The writers loved Musial. He received three MVP awards and totaled 6.96 award shares. Barry Bonds (9.30) was the only player to garner more MVP consideration, though Albert Pujols (6.90) is poised to pass Musial soon
  • One truly remarkable stat is that of Musial's 12,717 plate appearances, only 696 ended with strike three. He didn't exceed 40 strike outs in any season prior to his forties
  • Ranks second all-time in total bases and MVP shares, third in doubles, runs created, and extra base hits, and fourth in hits
  • Was fortunate that he only lost one season to World War II. Hank Greenberg and Bob Feller missed nearly four full years.
  • Never won the traditional Triple Crown, but won a pair of sabermetric Triple Crowns by leading the league in the triple slash stats in 1943 and 1948
  • Upon retirement in 1963, Musial held or shared 17 major league records, 29 National League records and 9 All-Star Game records. He was the first player to appear in 1,000 games at two different positions, recording 1,896 in the outfield and 1,016 at first base
  • Made it into the Hall of fame on the first ballot in 1969 (Roy Campanella was also inducted that year) with 93.3 percent of the vote. 23 members of the BBWAA did not believe his career was Cooperstown worthy
  • My personal favorite: Stan Musial was never ejected from a game. Earl Weaver, who I just wrote about, was given the hook at least 91 times

Monday, March 19, 2012

Best Offensive Baseball Season of the 1940s

I guess a case could be made for Stan Musial's 1948, but this one wasn't much of a contest.

1941 Ted Williams (11.3 bWAR)

Teddy Ballgame's 1941 is arguably the greatest season by a hitter in the long and storied history of America's national pastime.  "The greatest hitter who ever lived" was at his absolute zenith in his third big league season and was just 22 years old, the age of a typical college graduate.  He had already established himself as a top hitter by then, but his 1940 had been viewed as a disappointment because his home run total dropped more than 25 percent even though the Sox had constructed a new bullpen--dubbed "Williamsburg"--in right field to bring the fences in by 20 feet.  The Fenway Faithful began booing the young Williams, who responded by lashing out at the fans/media and demanding a trade.  It was just his nature; he was cocky, brash, and full of energy, eager to prove that he could walk the walk after talking the talk.

Williams is greeted by DiMaggio at home plate
after winning the All-Star game with a timely
home run
As always, his bat talked louder than his words.  Although a broken bone in his right ankle suffered during spring training limited him to pinch-hitting duty for much of April, the injury did little to inhibit his swing.  He reeled off a 23 game hit streak from May 15th (the same day Joe DiMaggio went one-for-four to kickstart his record-setting hit streak) through June 7th, during which his batting average swelled from .339 to .431.  A month later during the Midsummer Classic in DetroiT. Williams (hitting .405 at the time) batted cleanup behind the Yankee Clipper, who by that point had already notched a hit in 48 straight games.  Boston's slugger stepped up in the bottom of the ninth with runners on the corners, swung with his eyes closed and crushed a walk-off three-run homer to give the American League a 7-5 victory (back when the game was one of the marquee sporting events). He always maintained that it was the most thrilling hit of his life. 

Unfortunately, his quest to bat .400 was overshadowed for most of the summer by Joe DiMaggio's unprecedented 56 game hitting streak that had the entire nation diligently checking box scores in the morning papers.  In addition, the sport was just coming off a decade of inflated statistics, and it had only been eleven years since Bill Terry batted .401 for the New York Giants (becoming the last National Leaguer to eclipse .400 in the process).  High batting averages were commonplace, and the novelty of hitting .400 had worn off a bit.  It would be like if Albert Pujols hit 70 home runs this year.  Still a remarkable achievement, but one that's been "cheapened" by Bonds, Mark McGwire and Sammy Sosa.

By late July DiMaggio's streak had been committed to memory, and Williams pulled his average up over .400 after spending a couple weeks in the .390s.  He entered September batting .407, and halfway through the month his average stood at .411.  Then, mere inches from the finish line, he slumped.  He batted just .265 over the next two weeks, setting the stage for a dramatic finish. 

Every baseball fan worth his salt knows how he famously collected six hits in eight at-bats during a doubleheader against Connie Mack's Philadelphia A's on the final day of the season.  With his batting average sitting at .39955, Williams was told by player/manager Joe Cronin that he could sit out the twin bill and his average would be rounded up to .400.  The Kid flat-out refused and boosted his average to .406 with his big day, which included a double and a home run.

But Williams did so much more than win his first batting championship by hitting .406. He also led the major leagues with 135 runs, 37 dingers, 147 walks, .553 OBP, .735 SLG., 1,287 OPS, and a 234 OPS+.  He came within five RBI of winning his first batting Triple Crown, and won the first of five "sabermetric Triple Crowns" (leading the league in the three triple slash stats).  Unfortunately for him, his Red Sox finished a distant second to the Yanks, 17 games off the pace, and the MVP voting reflected this.  Joltin' Joe outpolled Williams, even though Williams clearly had the superior season across the board.  The most glaring difference was OPS, in which Williams held a 204 point advantage! It was just the first of many snubs for Teddy Ballgame, who would get jobbed the following year when the writers gave it to Joe Gordon, who probably wasn't even the most valuable player on his own team.

Some more eye-popping stats from his monster year:

Perfection
-His .406 average is the highest since 1924, when Rogers Hornsby set the modern record by batting .424
-Struck out only 27 times
-Played in only three night games that year
-His .553 OBP stood as a major league record for more than six decades, until Barry Bonds surpassed him in 2002 with a .582 mark
-His 1.287 OPS was the highest figure posted between 1923 (Ruth) and 2001 (Bonds)
-His lowest monthly batting average was .372 in June; he batted over .400 in May, July, and August
-Recorded four more walks than games played, and walked more than five times for every whiff
-As the season wore on, Williams only got better; his second half OPS was 169 points higher than his first half OPS
-At the time, batting averages were penalized for sacrifice flies, which counted as official at-bats instead of just plate appearances, as they are now.  Under current rules, Williams would have batted .416
-His batting average was below .400 after just 30 of his 143 games that year