Showing posts with label Cherington. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Cherington. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 5, 2012

Red Sox Nab Victorino

A day after handing Mike Napoli a three-year, $39 million contract the Boston Red Sox agreed to the exact same deal with Shane Victorino.

Both are free agents on the wrong side of 30 coming off down years, and Boston is asking each one to change positions. Napoli was the starting catcher in last summer's All-Star Game but will move to first base to fill the void left by Adrian Gonzalez. Victorino received three consecutive Gold Gloves from 2008-'10 for his strong play in center field, but the Red Sox already have Jacoby Ellsbury entrenched as their center-fielder (for now). The Flyin' Hawaiian will shift to right field to accommodate the incumbent, but could regain his original position soon if Ellsbury is traded or leaves via free agency next winter.

The reaction to this signing has been decidedly less positive than the one that preceded it by a day. Victorino batted a lousy .255/.321/.383 last season, and each of those numbers represents a career worst over the course of a full season. Some regression was to be expected following his great 2011 campaign, but I don't think anybody expected him to perform so poorly during his contract year. It was hoped the struggling switch-hitter would improve after Philadelphia Phillies dealt him to the Los Angeles Dodgers just before the trading deadline, allowing him to bat in front of Matt Kemp, Andre Ethier, Hanley Ramirez and Adrian Gonzalez everyday. Instead of turning his season around, Victorino played even worse in his new digs; he had a .724 OPS before the trade and a .667 OPS afterwards.

Thankfully, the Flyin' Hawaiian can still fly because speed never slumps. The two-time All-Star set a new career high with 39 stolen bases and was caught just six times, resulting in an impressive 86.7 percent success rate. Pairing him with Ellsbury gives Boston two elite basestealers who can wreak havoc on the basepaths. Recent injuries to Ellsbury and Carl Crawford robbed the Red Sox of reaching their full potential in the speed department, so hopefully John Farrell lets them run wild next year.

Speaking of Crawford, Victorino has been comparable in value to departed left fielder. Victorino does everything well. His package of speed, solid on base skills (.341 career OBP), passable power and plus defense makes him an above average ballplayer. Most years he's worth three or four wins above replacement, with a good chunk of that value tied up in his glovework and baserunning. Since the going rate for one win these days is about five million dollars, he should be able to earn his keep if he stays healthy.

Boston got surprisingly decent production from its right-fielders--mainly Cody Ross and Ryan Sweeney--last year, who batted a combined .261/.319/.431 with 18 home runs and 85 RBI. The 32 year-old Victorino is unlikely to match those power numbers, but he's  a good bet to meet or exceed those efficiency stats while upgrading the defense. There's a lot of ground to cover in Fenway Park's right field, which extends 380 feet from home plate. Victorino, a rangy outfielder with good instincts, should be up to the task even if his throwing arm is lacking.

It will be interesting to see how this contract will play out, especially compared to the J.D. Drew experience. Drew caught a lot of flak throughout his five years in Beantown, but he was much better than people gave him credit for. I think Victorino will be too.

Monday, December 3, 2012

Red Sox Sign Napoli

Red Sox fans will enjoy watching Mike Napoli rake at Fenway next year
The Boston Red Sox made their first major free agent signing this offseason by acquiring Mike Napoli for three years and $39 million

Boston's front office targeted the former Ranger weeks ago and wasted no time sealing the deal with him on the first day of baseball's winter meetings. It's easy to see why they coveted him so badly; Napoli is a) affordable and b) one of the best right-handed power hitters in the game. Since 2008 he's socked at least 20 home runs each season while slugging .522 and posting a robust .257 ISO. Over that span he owns the third-highest HR/AB ratio behind only Jose Bautista and Albert Pujols. He's on the wrong side of 30 and has played more than 114 games just once (in 2010--his last year with the Los Angeles Angels), but moving from catcher to first base should help keep his bat in the lineup.

Expect the 2012 All-Star to continue producing strong numbers in Boston, where he can take advantage of Fenway Park. He's a .306/.397/.710 hitter with seven long balls in his 17 games there and will enjoy taking aim at the Green Monster for the next several seasons. Surprisingly, the Red Sox have lacked a legitimate righty slugger since Jason Bay helped lead them to their most recent postseason appearance in 2009 (Dustin Pedroia and Kevin Youkilis don't count). Boston's lineup has become too lefty-dominant in recent years, but Napoli will provide balance. Interestingly, Napoli batted behind David Ortiz in last summer's All-Star Game, and could very well be protecting Big Papi next season depending on how John Farrell fills out his lineup card.

More importantly, this deal fills the void at first base created by the megatrade that sent Adrian Gonzalez, Josh Beckett, Carl Crawford and Nick Punto to the Los Angeles Dodgers last summer and shed more than $260 million in future salary commitments. It's good to see GM Ben Cherington put some of that freed-up salary to good use. He's already re-signed David Ortiz and brought in Jonny Gomes and David Ross, all on two-year deals. Cherington's aversion to long-term contracts makes the Red Sox unlikely candidates to sign either Josh Hamilton or Zack Greinke, both of whom expect to receive lengthy nine-figure contracts.

That's okay. Cherington has stressed the need for more discipline, and so far he's practiced what he preached. His next moves should be shore up the outfield by bringing back Cody Ross and signing Nick Swisher. Both are hard-hitting outfielders who double as positive clubhouse presences.

After the dysfunctional season Boston just had, this team could certainly use a few of those.