Friday, June 5, 2015

Swihart Swats First Career HR

Swihart's solo shot was a titanic blast onto Lansdowne Street (Fox Sports)
One of the few Red Sox highlights from Boston's ugly 8-4 loss to the Twins yesterday was that Blake Swihart launched the first of what will hopefully be many home runs for the rookie catcher..

With two outs and nobody on, Swihart snapped a 22-game and 75 at-bat homerless streak to begin his career in the bottom of the third. Facing Twins starter Tommy Milone for the second time that day, Swihart laid off two close pitches to put himself up 2-0 in the count. The lefty's third pitch was a mistake, right over the heart of the plate, and Swihart crushed it. His first career blast was a moonshot, clearing the Monster seats and landing 406 feet from home plate. It was a no-doubter, an absolute bomb.

Unfortunately the bases were empty when he left the yard, so it only counted as one. Swihart's blast put the Sox up 3-0, but Boston was unable to hold the lead and ultimately dropped the series finale to Minnesota. It also made him the youngest Sox catcher to go deep since Rich Gedman, a two-time All-Star with Boston, belted his first dinger at the age of 21 during the strike-shortened 1981 season.

The long ball continued a recent resurgence at the plate for Swihart, who has now hit safely in eight of his last nine games. His batting line is still a lowly .218/.247/.295 on the season, but that marks a huge improvement over where it stood just a few weeks ago. The 23 year-old is barely a month into his major league career, after all, and in a perfect world would still be getting additional seasoning down in Pawtucket. But with Christian Vazquez out for the season and Ryan Hanigan sidelined until at least the All-Star Break, Swihart's been thrust into a starting role much sooner than expected. He's learning on the job and experiencing natural growing pains that come with that, which might be more magnified because catchers usually take longer to develop than other position players.

For all of Swihart's struggles at the dish, he's still a better hitter than Boston's other backstop, Sandy Leon. Leon is batting a mere .170 with two RBI on the season and has yet to notch an extra base hit in 57 plate appearances. If Swihart's overmatched, Leon's totally helpless, and it's not like Hanigan was Mike Piazza, either. Catcher has been an offensive black hole for the Sox all season, so it would certainly be nice if Swihart started hitting.

Then again, it would be really nice if every other Red Sock not named Dustin Pedroia and Xander Bogaerts started hitting too.

De Aza Trade Dumb

De Aza doesn't make the Red Sox better. If anything, he makes them worse (CBS Boston)
Ben Cherington has made quite a few questionable moves in his four seasons as general manager of the Boston Red Sox, but his recent trade for Alejandro De Aza is one I just can't wrap my head around.

The Red Sox, last in the AL East and second-to-last in the American League, need a lot of things. They've needed starting pitching help for months, could probably use another reliever to solidify the bullpen, and would likely be better off with a new hitting coach (sorry, Chili Davis). One thing they definitely didn't need was another outfielder, especially a thirtysomething one who can't hit. De Aza, 31, has a .636 OPS and -0.1 bWAR this year in a part-time role with the Baltimore Orioles.

Why is this a player that Cherington not only wanted, but went out and got? De Aza can't hit, run, or field, and he's on the wrong side of 30. He's a platoon-only player at this stage of his career, as he's completely incompetent against lefties (0-for-14 versus southpaws this year). He's not inexpensive either, as he's owed over $3 million for the remainder of the season.

What makes this trade even more confusing is that the Red Sox have been trying to figure out what to do with their abundance of outfielders for months. Now they have another one to worry about. Joe Maddon would probably find a way to get something out of De Aza, but John Farrell definitely won't.

I just don't get it, Ben. Your team's in last place, last freaking place, and this is the kind of move you make? Do you honestly think you're going to be a better team with De Aza than without him? Because the stats say you aren't. In fact, you're probably worse. What's the point? Why even bother?

You need to be thinking bigger. Much bigger. Like, Cole Hamels kind of bigger. There's still plenty of time to save your season, but you're not going to do it by bringing in the Alejandro De Azas of the world. Work out a trade for an impact player, preferably someone who can take the ball every fifth day and not get lit up every other start. Identify a hole--your team has plenty of those--and plug it. Don't waste time fixing the sideview mirror when your car's completely totaled.

Because De Aza won't make an ounce of difference for your team this year. So please, find somebody who will.

Sox Blow Early Lead, Settle for Split

Hunter connects for a three-run homer, his 200th with the Twins (Star Tribune)
The Boston Red Sox were in complete control of yesterday's series finale versus the Minnesota Twins through the first four innings. Boston led 4-0, had opposing starter Tommy Milone on the ropes, and Steven Wright was baffling Twins batters with his knuckleball. It looked as though the Sox were headed for an easy win, not to mention their first series win in almost two weeks.

That momentum evaporated with one swing of Torii Hunter's aging bat in the top of the fifth, when the 39 year-old crushed a three-run homer over the Monster to bring Minnesota back to within one. The Twins tied the game the next inning--Wright's last--aided by an overthrow from Pablo Sandoval into the Boston dugout.

The Red Sox still appeared to be in good shape heading into the ninth inning, what with Koji Uehara on the mound (one earned run allowed in the past six weeks) and the top of their order due up in the bottom half. All Koji had to do was keep the Twins off the board and turn the game over to Boston's best hitters--Dustin Pedroia, Hanley Ramirez, and David Ortiz.

Shockingly, Uehara failed to record a single out despite getting two strikes on three of the four batters he faced. Brian Dozier stroked a two-strike single, then Hunter did the same. In a bizarre and highly questionable managerial move by Paul Molitor, Joe Mauer laid down a sacrifice bunt that dribbled out in front of the plate. Rookie catcher Blake Swihart rushed out to retrieve it and fired to third, hoping to nail the lead runner, but his throw was low and eluded Sandoval's glove, ending up in left field. The gaffe scored Dozier, giving Minnesota the lead, and advanced Hunter to third.

Trevor Plouffe worked the count full, then drove a single to left that absolutely could have been caught had Hanley Ramirez gotten a better jump and/or been a faster human being. Instead it landed over his head and bounced up against the wall. Hunter, who would have scored easily even if Hanley had made the catch, came home while Mauer moved up to second.

John Farrell had seen enough from his rattled closer, and removed him in favor of Craig Breslow. Breslow only made things worse, however, allowing two more runs to score and essentially putting the game out of reach for Boston. The Red Sox batters did their part by going down 1-2-3 in the bottom of the ninth against Twins closer and likely All-Star Glen Perkins, who nailed down his second save in less than 24 hours.

The Red Sox hope to get back on track tonight against the only American League team with a worse record than them--the scuffling Oakland A's. Wade Miley will try to even his record at 5-5 as well as bounce back from a horrendous outing in Texas last weekend, where he was battered for nine hits and six runs (five earned) in four innings. Boston will face a much tougher opponent in the form of Scott Kazmir, whose ERA is more than two full runs lower than Miley's at 2.93. First pitch will be at 7:10 PM EST.

Wednesday, June 3, 2015

Boston's Summer Swoon

1978 is the standard against which all other Red Sox collapses are measured (Boston.com)
It's been a rough summer for Red Sox fans, and doesn't figure to get any better unless this team figures out how to hit with runners in scoring position and string together quality outings on the mound.

Regardless of what happens over the next four months, no summer will ever be as bad as the one where Boston had its division sewn up in late July, only to miss the playoffs on the season's final day.

Red Sox Nation has endured its fair share of epic collapses, both in the regular season and postseason. There was Johnny Pesky "holding the ball" as Enos Slaughter raced around to score in 1946, lost pennants on the final days of the 1948 and 1949 seasons, Bill Buckner letting an easy grounder skip through his legs, and Grady Little leaving in Pedro Martinez too long.

Until 2011 came along, however, Boston's 1978 tank-job was always in a league of its own. Mention the year 1978 in New England, and memories will immediately recall two things; the historic blizzard that dumped record amounts of snowfall across the region, and the Olde Towne Team’s equally historic meltdown that summer.

For a while, it looked as though the ‘78 Red Sox would go down as one of the great ballclubs in history given how dominant they were in the first half. By July 20th,  Boston had built up a nine-game lead over its division—including a 14 game cushion over the slumping Yankees—and was on pace to win 112 games. From that point forward the Yankees were the best team in baseball, going 52-21 to close out the season, while the Bosox barely broke .500 at 37-36.

Boston’s swoon started in late July, when the Sox suddenly lost nine of ten and saw their division lead cut in half. It was around this time that a maelstrom of injuries devastated the starting lineup. Leadoff man and shortstop Rick Burleson missed 16 games in July with a strained ankle ligament. A sprained wrist cost Captain Carl Yastrzemski 10 games in August. All-Star second baseman Jerry Remy suffered a chipped bone on a steal play at second, forcing him from the starting lineup for two weeks in late August/early September. Dizziness resulting from a beaning beset Dwight Evans, who had an .815 OPS before September 1st but only a .545 OPS after. Meanwhile, catcher Carlton Fisk was playing through a cracked rib and Butch Hobson battled floating bone chips in his throwing elbow, which he would re-arrange between pitches to the horror of his teammates.

With two-thirds of their starting lineup hampered by injury, the Red Sox were running on fumes as the calendar flipped to September. Their already weak bench was stretched too thin, forcing Don Zimmer to replace his All-Stars with the likes of Bob Bailey, Jack Brohamer, and Frank Duffy. Zimmer also did himself no favors by limiting Bill Lee, a notorious Yankee-killer and Boston’s only left-handed starting pitcher, to just 24 starts even though Lee was perfectly healthy. Lee did not make a single start after August 19th and was used only three times—all in relief—as Boston’s seemingly insurmountable lead slipped away.

Entering September, the Red Sox still held a seven game lead over the rest of their division. With injuries mounting, however, they simply hit a wall. Boston lost 14 of 17, going from seven games up on the division to three and a half out of first with two weeks to go. In the middle of that horrid stretch was the Boston Massacre, a nightmare four-game sweep at the hands of the surging Yankees. New York bludgeoned Boston 42-9 in the pivotal series, erasing the home team’s four-game lead in the standings and seemingly delivering the knockout punch.

Boston, however, was far from finished. With their backs to the wall, they rallied to win 12 of their last 14, including eight in a row to close out the regular season and force a tie of first, setting up a tie-breaker game at Fenway Park against the Yankees.

On what was a beautiful fall day in New England, Boston got to New York’s ace and eventual AL Cy Young winner Ron Guidry first, tagging him for one run in the second and another in the sixth. With former Yankee Mike Torrez cruising, the Red Sox appeared to have the game well in hand as they took a 2-0 lead into the top of the seventh. Just seven outs from advancing to the American League Championship Series, Boston had an 82 percent chance of winning the game when Bucky Dent, New York’s number nine hitter, stepped in to face his former teammate with two outs and runners on first and second.

At that moment, one would have been hard-pressed to find a batter less-threatening than Dent. The light-hitting shortstop was mired in a horrendous slump, having collected just seven hits and two RBI in his previous 58 at-bats. His batting average had plunged to a lowly .241, with his slugging percentage not much better at .308. With only four home runs on the season he was not a threat to go yard, especially since his last home run had come on August 16th.
"Deep to left! Yastrzemski will not get it...it's a home run!" 
So when Dent lifted a pop fly towards the left field wall nobody, not even Dent, thought it was going out. He started digging for a double. Many believed Dent had just flied out to end the inning.

“When Bucky hit the ball, I said, ‘That's an out.’” Don Zimmer remembered.

“It was a ball that everyone thought was going to be caught,” author Leigh Montville recalled, “a nothing kind of hit.”

Only that nothing hit somehow found its way into the netting atop the Green Monster for a go-ahead three-run homer, silencing the crowd of 33,000. Left fielder Carl Yastrzemski, who appeared to have a play on the ball when it first left Dent’s bat, crumpled just in front of the wall as he watched the ball soar over it.

“I still can’t believe it went in the net,” Yastrzemski would say years later.

Dent’s unlikely long ball did not win the game for New York, as many have come to believe, but it did turn the tide. Torrez walked the next batter, Mickey Rivers, and was pulled from the game, unable to get the final out of the inning. Bob Stanley trotted in and allowed Thurman Munson to double, which scored Rivers easily from second (he had stolen). The winning run wouldn’t score until the top of the eighth, when Reggie Jackson led off with a solo shot to center that gave New York a 5-2 lead and drove Stanley from the game.

Boston rallied for two runs in the bottom of the eighth and had a chance to win the game in the bottom of the ninth. The tying and winning runs were on base for Jim Rice, that year’s American League MVP, and Yastrzemski. Rice flew out and Yaz popped out, stranding the tying run on third base.

The Red Sox had come as close as humanly possible to tying the game. Boston had won 99 regular season games, and in the end it was not enough. The downtrodden Sox went home for the winter with nothing to show for it except the bitter taste of defeat in their mouths.

Game 163, fittingly enough, was a microcosm of Boston’s rollercoaster season. The Sox jumped out to an early lead, blew it, clawed back, but ultimately fell just short. It would be eight more years before they reached the postseason, which would end even more tragically than their ill-fated 1978 campaign.

Tuesday, June 2, 2015

2015 MLB May Awards

That funky stance produced one of the best months any player has ever had (MLB Reports)
May is over, which means it's time to hand out some hardware.

American League

Player of the Month--Jason Kipnis
Kipnis made history last month, becoming the first player in 90 years to notch at least 30 runs and 50 hits (51, actually) in the month of May. The last to do it? Al Simmons, and the only other to ever do it was the one and only Ty Cobb. In addition to batting a scalding .429/.511/.706, Kipnis clubbed 22 extra base hits (15 doubles), led the major leagues in weighted runs created (38) and was worth 3.1 fWAR, becoming the first player in a decade to finish a month with more than three. Cleveland's leadoff man also recorded two or more hits in 16 of 29 games last month, hitting safely in all but four. Kipnis currently leads all American League position players in bWAR

Pitcher of the Month--Sonny Gray
The Oakland A's may be tanking, but that's hardly Gray's fault. The early season Cy Young candidate compiled a nifty 1.67 ERA and 1.06 WHIP across six May starts, of which Oakland only won three. The 25 year-old flamethrower also averaged over a strikeout per inning while limiting the 151 batters he faced to a .191/.272/.265 slash line. The A's have gone 6-5 in Gray's starts, but are just 14-28 in the games he hasn't pitched.

Rookie of the Month--Steven Souza
Souza's been a big source of offense for the Rays this year, leading Tampa Bay in home runs and ranking second in total bases and runs scored. The 26 year-old rightfielder slammed six home runs last month, scored 16 runs, and slugged .512. Fun fact: he currently has twice as many long balls as anyone else on his team.

Team of the Month--Minnesota Twins
The Twins finished May in a most unlikely place--at the top of the AL Central. This was a common occurrence for Minnesota last decade but hasn't been lately, as the Twins have endured four consecutive 90-loss seasons. The Twins, who went 20-7 in May, lost consecutive games only once last month while stringing together six separate winning streaks. Their offense clicked, averaging 5.15 runs per game, and the pitching shined, allowing only 3.85 runs per game. You know you've had a good month when Ricky Nolasco--one of the most erratic hurlers in baseball--wins five consecutive starts.
Scherzer's settled in as the best pitcher in the game this year (Grantland)
National League

Player of the Month--Bryce Harper
I've talked at length about Harper's incredible month, which saw the 22 year-old smash 13 home runs, drive in 28 runs, walk 22 times, and bat .360/.495/.884. Harper's May ranks as one of the best-ever, and nobody did more damage with a bat in his hands last month (except maybe Kipnis).

Pitcher of the Month--Max Scherzer
Scherzer and Harper have almost single-handedly carried Washington to the top of the NL East. Scherzer won five of his six starts in May, and in his lone loss allowed just five hits and one run in seven innings while striking out 10. He completed at least seven frames in all six turns, pitching 43 innings in all while maintaining a 1.67 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. Meanwhile, he notched double digit strikeouts in four of those starts, finishing the month with an absurd 56/6 K/BB ratio. He limited opponents (167 batters faced) to a .208/.241/.321 batting line and his average GameScore was 70. My preseason choice for the NL Cy Young winner has established himself as the early frontrunner.

Rookie of the Month--Kris Bryant
Close call here between Bryant and Joc Pederson, but I'll take the guy who hit his first major league home run, then belted six more over the following two weeks (that would be Bryant). I ultimately favored Bryant, whose counting stats and rate stats were a bit better and because he more than doubled Pederson's WPA. I'd expect Bryant to win this award at least once more before the season is through.

Team of the Month--San Francisco Giants
The defending World Series champs rounded into form following a tough (9-13) April. The Giants went 21-9, vaulting themselves from last place in the NL West at the beginning of the month to just a half game out of first by the end of it. They swept the reigning AL West champs to kick off May with a five-game win streak, but San Fran didn't really hit its stride until the second half of the month. The Giants won eight in a row from May 15-23, lost two straight in Colorado before promptly winning five more, briefly climbing into first place before dropping a pair against Atlanta to close out the month. San Francisco was buoyed by an offense that averaged nearly five runs a game, aided by Brandon Belt's smoldering bat, the return of Hunter Pence, and the quiet consistency of Buster Posey. The pitching, meanwhile, allowed only 3.6 runs per game, largely thanks to the revival of Tim Lincecum and a surprisingly good month from Ryan Vogelsong. The Giants probably don't have what it takes to hang with the Dodgers all summer, but at least they've made it a race.